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git checkout d0f89957541bdcc354da8e11422f5efcf9fedd0e # latest main
With this in mind, a 50 percent ensemble Actor Award success rate at the Oscars means that Sinners has a solid shot at a Best Picture win, but it's not a complete lock. Based on its other awards season wins, One Battle After Another still seems to have the edge, especially when it comes to the PGA Awards. Out of the PGA's past 36 winners, 26 have gone on to win Best Picture at the Oscars, a higher success rate than the Actor Awards.
根据公式计算可得，α=0.0072973……，取倒数非常接近137。